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1

Comparing Information in Forecasts from Econometric Models

Ray C. Fair and Robert J. Shiller

Journal:

American Economic Review

Year:

1990

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 413 KB

english, 1990

2

The Informational Content of Ex Ante Forecasts

Ray C. Fair and Robert J. Shiller

Journal:

Review of Economics and Statistics

Year:

1989

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 258 KB

english, 1989

3

Specification, Estimation, and Analysis of Macroeconometric Models

Edwards, Clark, Fair, Ray C.

Journal:

American Journal of Agricultural Economics

Year:

1986

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 228 KB

english, 1986

4

Has macro progressed?

Journal:

Journal of Macroeconomics

Year:

2012

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 190 KB

english, 2012

5

A Theory of Extramarital Affairs

Journal:

Journal of Political Economy

Year:

1978

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 369 KB

english, 1978

6

Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium: A Further Study

Ray C. Fair and Harry H. Kelejian

Journal:

Year:

1974

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 404 KB

english, 1974

7

The Optimal Distribution of Income

Journal:

Quarterly Journal of Economics

Year:

1971

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 2.06 MB

english, 1971

8

Methods of Estimation for Markets in Disequilibrium

Ray C. Fair and Dwight M. Jaffee

Journal:

Year:

1972

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 493 KB

english, 1972

9

Analyzing Macroeconomic Forecastability

Journal:

Journal of Forecasting

Year:

2012

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 85 KB

english, 2012

10

Is Fiscal Stimulus a Good Idea?

Journal:

Business Economics

Year:

2014

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 132 KB

english, 2014

11

[Handbook of Econometrics] Volume 3 || Chapter 33 Evaluating the predictive accuracy of models

Year:

1986

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1021 KB

english, 1986

12

The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President

Journal:

Review of Economics and Statistics

Year:

1978

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 641 KB

english, 1978

13

A Full-Information Maximum Likelihood Program

Journal:

Year:

1972

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 151 KB

english, 1972

14

[What Ends Recessions?]: Comment

Journal:

NBER Macroeconomics Annual

Year:

1994

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 357 KB

english, 1994

15

Information content of DSGE forecasts

Journal:

Journal of Forecasting

Year:

2019

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 155 KB

english, 2019

16

Variable mismeasurement in a class of DSGE models: Comment

Journal:

Journal of Macroeconomics

Year:

2020

File:

PDF, 436 KB

2020

17

Estimation of polynomial distributed lags and leads with end point constraints

Donald W.K. Andrews, Ray C. Fair

Journal:

Journal of Econometrics

Year:

1992

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 926 KB

english, 1992

18

The effect of economic events on votes for president: 1992 update

Journal:

Political Behavior

Year:

1996

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.08 MB

english, 1996

19

Presidential and Congressional Vote-Share Equations

Journal:

American Journal of Political Science

Year:

2009

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 226 KB

english, 2009

20

The production-smoothing model is alive and well

Journal:

Journal of Monetary Economics

Year:

1989

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.22 MB

english, 1989

21

Estimated inflation costs had european unemployment been reduced in the 1980s by macro policies

Journal:

Journal of Macroeconomics

Year:

1999

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.15 MB

english, 1999

22

A model of the balance of payments

Journal:

Journal of International Economics

Year:

1979

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.72 MB

english, 1979

23

Sources of Economic Fluctuations in the United States

Journal:

Quarterly Journal of Economics

Year:

1988

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 356 KB

english, 1988

24

Papers and Proceedings of the One Hundred Eleventh Annual Meeting of the American Economic Association || Does the NAIRU Have the Right Dynamics?

Journal:

American Economic Review

Year:

1999

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 302 KB

english, 1999

25

Econometrics and Presidential Elections

Journal:

Journal of Economic Perspectives

Year:

1996

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 312 KB

english, 1996

26

Solution and Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Nonlinear Rational Expectations Models

Fair, Ray C., Taylor, John B.

Journal:

Year:

1983

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 392 KB

english, 1983

27

Fed Policy and the Effects of a Stock Market Crash on the Economy: IS THE FED TIGHTENING TOO LITTLE AND TOO LATE?

Journal:

Business Economics

Year:

2000

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.90 MB

english, 2000

28

Forecasting the Depression: Harvard versus Yale

Kathryn M. Dominguez, Ray C. Fair and Matthew D. Shapiro

Journal:

American Economic Review

Year:

1988

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.73 MB

english, 1988

29

[What Ends Recessions?]: Comment

Journal:

NBER Macroeconomics Annual

Year:

1994

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 443 KB

english, 1994

30

The Use of Optimal Control Techniques to Measure Economic Performance

Journal:

International Economic Review

Year:

1978

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 2.24 MB

english, 1978

31

Does the NAIRU Have the Right Dynamics?

Journal:

American Economic Review

Year:

1999

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 73 KB

english, 1999

32

Estimating Aging Effects in Running Events

Fair, Ray C., Kaplan, Edward H.

Journal:

Review of Economics and Statistics

Year:

2018

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 668 KB

english, 2018

33

Computing median unbiased estimates in macroeconometric models

Journal:

Journal of Applied Econometrics

Year:

1996

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 388 KB

english, 1996

34

Full-information estimates of a nonlinear macroeconometric model

Ray C. Fair, William R. Parke

Journal:

Journal of Econometrics

Year:

1980

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.42 MB

english, 1980

35

The effect of economic events on votes for president: 1984 update

Journal:

Political Behavior

Year:

1988

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 841 KB

english, 1988

36

ESTIMATED MACROECONOMIC EFFECTS OF THE U.S. STIMULUS BILL

Journal:

Contemporary Economic Policy

Year:

2010

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 518 KB

english, 2010

37

Full information estimation and stochastic simulation of models with rational expectations

Ray C. Fair, John B. Taylor

Journal:

Journal of Applied Econometrics

Year:

1990

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 812 KB

english, 1990

38

Optimal choice of monetary policy instruments in a macroeconometric model

Journal:

Journal of Monetary Economics

Year:

1988

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 2.21 MB

english, 1988

39

Evaluating alternative monetary policy rules

Ray C. Fair, E.Philip Howrey

Journal:

Journal of Monetary Economics

Year:

1996

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.06 MB

english, 1996

40

Testing price equations

Journal:

European Economic Review

Year:

2008

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 185 KB

english, 2008

41

Shock effects on stocks, bonds, and exchange rates

Journal:

Journal of International Money and Finance

Year:

2003

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 160 KB

english, 2003

42

WHAT IT TAKES TO SOLVE THE U.S. GOVERNMENT DEFICIT PROBLEM

Journal:

Contemporary Economic Policy

Year:

2012

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 652 KB

english, 2012

43

[Handbook of Computational Economics] Volume 1 || Chapter 3 Computational methods for macroeconometric models

Year:

1996

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 1.47 MB

english, 1996

44

Possible Macroeconomic Consequences of Large Future Federal Government Deficits

Journal:

Tax Policy and the Economy

Year:

2011

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 588 KB

english, 2011

45

Events That Shook the Market

Journal:

The Journal of Business

Year:

2002

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 125 KB

english, 2002

46

Testing the Rational Expectations Hypothesis in Macroeconometric Models

Journal:

Oxford Economic Papers

Year:

1993

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 429 KB

english, 1993

47

A Model of Output, Employment, Wages and Prices in the U. K.by I. F. Pearce; P. K. Trivedi; C. T. Stromback; G. J. Anderson

Review by: Ray C. Fair

Journal:

Journal of the American Statistical Association

Year:

1977

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 252 KB

english, 1977

48

Papers and Proceedings of the Ninety-First Annual Meeting of the American Economic Association || On Modeling the Effects of Government Policies

Journal:

American Economic Review

Year:

1979

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 191 KB

english, 1979

49

An Analysis of a Macro-Econometric Model with Rational Expectations in the Bond and Stock Markets

Journal:

American Economic Review

Year:

1979

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 368 KB

english, 1979

50

Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations

Ray C. Fair and Kathryn M. Dominguez

Journal:

American Economic Review

Year:

1991

Language:

english

File:

PDF, 497 KB

english, 1991

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